Survivor Nicaragua: Episode 13 - Triple Threat

Tonight we saw Sash in the power seat as being the swing vote in two 3 person alliances and whether he chose right will remain to be seen.


At the reward challenge Chase cleaned up, both figuratively and literally, and then potentially made the biggest blunder in the game by bringing Jane instead of Sash.  So far Sash has stayed on his side, but I would not be surprised to see him flip things on end and team up with Fabio and Dan and try something to get Chase or Jane out.  Chase is not a very smart player and even with an immunity  idol, he is in danger of going home if he is not careful.


Jane holding her little ceremony for the chicken was ridiculous.  I thought it was a great time for the 4 guys to do it, because one the rest of them were eating good and Jane wasn't around to protest.  The main thing is that Kelly-Nay didn't quit.  


At the immunity challenge, Fabio almost pulled out a win, but Sash ended up taking it.  That gives him the triple threat of immunity for this TC, a hidden idol for the future and being the swing vote.  Unfortunately, he is still in a tough situation, because Dan and Fabio can't trust him, although I think Fabio feels Sash looked out for him, so he may still trust him.  That would make for a great mix up if Dan or Fabio could pull the votes out to blindside Sash.  But I don't think it will happen.


So what would I like to see happen?  I would love to see Sash team up with Dan and Fabio and blindside Chase.  The way it would work is Sash would have to convince Dan and Fabio to approach Chase, Jane and Holly and present a case why they should blindside Sash, since he has the idol and if he doesn't see the vote coming, he probably won't play it.  Then Sash vote with Dan and Fabio and force a tie, but play his idol and hope Chase doesn't play his (which no one knows about as far as we know).  Of course it would be awesome if both played their idols and they had to do a revote, since non of the votes would count.


Of the six left, I'd like to see Holly win.  I don't really want Jane to win, because I don't think she has played a real strategic game.  I don't want Chase to win because he has made way too many mistakes. Fabio I would be indifferent about winning.  Sash would be ok too, as he has played a strategic game.  Not always a smart one, but still a good game.  Dan doesn't have a prayer.


I think Dan will be in the final 3, unless Chase's alliance holds.  Voting out Dan at this point is crazy, because there is no way he will win, so you want him sitting next to you.  Of the rest of the group, I think you really do want Chase there, because I don't think he can win either.  So Holly or Sash need to bring those two until the end.


So we have two episodes left and anything can happen.  So until next time... the Tribe has spoken.