First off Ralph has sunk to a new low. He doesn't even know what Cohesive means. Someone get that man a dictionary!
Redemption Island shows Matt getting annoyed by Stephanie's constant chatter and apparently God wanted Matt to continue. I understand the reason why Stephanie selected Matt to go first, so she would have a better opportunity to play off his mistakes, but as the challenge started out, they both made a match. After that, Matt continued to play a good game, missing only one match if I remember correctly. Stephanie was doomed and it wouldn't have mattered if she had gone first or not. The reason I think you elect to go first is because it is the first to five and if everything goes equally for both players, then the first person would win, since they would get there first.
After the challenge, I like how Stephanie kept playing the game, by getting in Zapatera's ear about Sarita as well as telling Rob to watch out.
Matt is now 5-0 on Redemption Island, but the previews make it seem like there may be trouble in paradise.
Back at Camp, Phillip wants some crunchy rice but the girls say it is for Rob. This of course irritates Phillip. Rob gets a kick out of it when he returns. Rob is ready to get rid of Phillip, but I'm glad he is still there.
At Zapatera, it looks like David is in trouble because of his move last episode, but in the end, they finally agree with his reasoning and decide to take out Sarita. Something they should have done last episode. Now they are down 5-6 going into the merge.
At the challenge, which was great, Ometepe starts off with a lead after retrieving the first ball, but they have trouble with the next two balls giving Zapatera a lead. Zapatera is the first to get to the end to make the balls in the basket, but just can't do it. For the second challenge in a row, Grant proves to be the king of catching and throwing balls. I guess that football background is still fresh, where Steve's is a little more rusty. In a very close end, Ometepe eeks out a win.
Surprising enough Sarita is the one running her mouth and lobbying around camp and David is cool about it. Not only that Sarita is over confident and doesn't even bring her stuff to TC. When you know it is either him or you, why would you not bring your stuff, even if you are pretty sure it is him? She isn't a smart player and like I said, she should have already been gone. Now she has a chance to get right back into the game.
At the reward challenge, they had a great feast, and as normal, Rob is always thinking and sure enough finds the clue to the idol, which he already has. This time no one sees him take it and put it in his back pocket. Later during his interview, he throws it in the volcano. Classic!
At Tribal Council, it is pretty much David vs. Sarita and David has the last laugh. He stays, but certainly is in trouble in his tribe.
The previews show that there will be a merge and that poses some problems for Rob, since Phillip is a loose canon and probably will flip. On the other hand, David's best choice is to flip to Rob's side, thus nullifying Phillip. That leave the person that will return from Redemption Island. The previews say the winner of this last RI challenge will return into the game. I'm assuming that they will bring them back at the challenge, if that is where they announce the merge. Maybe they will have everyone attend the RI challenge instead of just two from each tribe, but that would be crowded, so I don't think that will be the case. It is always possible they may wait until after the Tribal Council for the next episode and bring them back then.
In merging with 11, plus the 1 person from RI, it is clear that they will have a final 3 and 9 jury members, meaning the person voted out next will become the first jury member, so I think the person returning from RI will either go back with those that watch the challenge to the new camp or it will happen at the challenge. I'm leaning towards the challenge based on what the previews show.
So let's look at the remaining players:
Rob - If he can survive the next couple episodes, he will be in the finals but he has his work cut out for him. The thing he does have going for him is that he has a great social game and it appears that he has everyone on his tribe on his side, except for Phillip. Andrea could be a wildcard too. Rob also needs to think about individual immunity threats and Grant is probably the biggest threat there.
Andrea - She seems to be with the other girls, but I'm not so sure. Given the right opportunity, she could flip. If Matt comes back in the game, it will be interesting to see if she actually welcomes him back or if she does as she said last episode, and may not realign with him.
Grant - The only thing that he has going for him is he could run the table in the challenges. He also seems to get along with everyone, so he could get jury votes, since he isn't the mastermind on the tribe. I think Rob needs to take him out as soon as he can, once he has the numbers on his side.
Natalie - I can see Rob taking her to the end, because I don't think anyone will vote for her.
Ashley - I can also see Rob taking her for the same reason as Natalie.
Phillip - Now we get to see the Lion and Gorilla in action. The question is will Phillip be successful in ousting Rob? Will Zapatera take him in. For Phillip's sake, he better play it cool or he will find himself on the outs with both tribes. Phillip is probably not going to go on an immunity threat and there is no way anyone from Ometepe will vote for him in the finals, so if Rob can keep the number and Phillip til the end, along with one of his girls, that would be his best move.
Steve - While he appears to be the strategic leader for Zapatera, I'm not so sure he will stick around long. He better hope Sarita comes back and Phillip flips, to have a chance. If he does get the numbers on his side, I think he could win in the finals against the remaining Zapatera tribe members.
Mike - Another possible immunity threat, although up to this point hasn't been great in challenges. I think he has a fairly good standing in the tribe, and like Steve, could be tough to beat in the finals against the rest of his tribe.
Ralph - I think Ralph has a real opportunity to make it to the end. He still has the idol, but if Rob remembers, then Ralph may be the first target, or at least an early target. Otherwise I don't see him to be a big threat and will stick around.
Julie - Strong woman and will do well in challenges, but I don't think she has enough to win this game.
David - David's best move will be to flip. Now the question is does he flip to Rob's alliance with the girls or try to get Phillip and Andrea on his side. If I'm Rob, I would bring David in and get rid of Grant ASAP.
Matt - If the injury to his foot that is talked about in the previews is bad enough, then he wouldn't be a huge immunity threat, but if it isn't that bad, he very well could be. He is 5-0 at RI and personally I am rooting for him to re-enter the game. The question also remains will he trust Rob again or will he try to find another alliance. If Matt, Andrea, Phillip and David join forces, you can write Matt the $1,000,000 check right now. I think Matt or Grant are the only two legitimate competition of Rob in the finals, should Rob make it that far.
Sarita - Not good in the challenges, but may catch a break if there is any balance or physicality to the last RI challenge. I fully expect Matt to win, but that surely just screwed him. For Zapatera, they have to hope that she wins and reenters the game.
So two immunity idols are still out there and no one knows that Rob has it and Russell pretty much outed Ralph as having it. The next couple episodes will be key for the key players in the game and how far they get. If Rob can survive 3 more episode, I predict he will get to the finals and probably win.
So that all for this week, so until next time... the Tribe has spoken.
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