The show starts with Natalie showing she is sticking with Rob, but she has some allegiance to Ashley. This is good for Rob and not so good for Ashley, or so it may seem. Rob said he has waited 10 years to get to this point and has to keep control of the game. He is thinking Ashley is the one to vote off after Natalie comes to him about her.
Andrea joins RI and hugs the others and passes Matt up. Matt and Andrea have a disagreement on dirty looks vs. googly eyes. After that, it's time to go to sleep and Ralph is a dork about the shelter and makes Andrea sleep outside on the ground.
At the duel, Ralph takes an early lead in the maze portion of the challenge and gets to the puzzle with a sizable lead. Mike finishes the maze next and then Matt and Andrea finish closely, with Matt having a slight lead. At the puzzle Ralph is clueless and quickly loses his lead and once again Mike comes in first in the challenge. Matt and Andrea both finish at almost the same time, again Matt slightly ahead of her and they both stay in the game, Ralph becomes a jury member and that is what he deserves for carrying on the childish action about the shelter with Andrea. Rob says he wants the RI twist to be over so it isn't a factor any more, which of course makes sense. I hope it ends at the beginning of the finale on Sunday.
Back at camp, a talk about the remaining rice and how to portion it comes up and Ashley seems like she is the only one that doesn't want to eat more of it. Phillip lives up to his crazy self and goes off on the girls about how they don't need as much because they don't burn as many calories. He knows these things because he is well read, but Ashley says they are normal girls and need more. The girls did have it wrong though, in thinking that Phillip was saying they shouldn't eat, but Phillip just continues to play a poor social game, but cements himself in the final 3, should he stick together with Rob.
Ashley wants to make a move to get Grant out and she talks to Rob about it. She makes sense about not competing against Mike and Grant, Rob doesn't like it and doesn't want to vote Grant out yet. Rob tells Grant about Ashley's idea and Grant is definitely set on getting Ashley out and Rob seems to be on board. Phillip certainly will be on board too. Natalie is the question mark, but I think she'll stick with Rob.
Rob talks to Natalie and convinces her that he has her back and says that Ashley is trying to corrupt innocent Natalie, which I think is hilarious since Rob is doing the same thing by having Natalie play games with Ashley.
At the immunity challenge, Grant starts out quickly and looks like he has got this thing figured out. Rob and Ashley are right there as well and Natalie can't get it going. Probst actually tells Natalie to stop trying once everyone is out to get their last bag. Grant starts to have trouble with the last bag, even though he is the first to go for it and Ashley and Rob duel it out until the end. Ashley wins immunity and picks Natalie to share in the reward. It was a dumb move on one hand, because it almost costs Natalie the game. If I'm Ashely, I take Rob. At the end Jeff says be nice to your waiter, which makes me think he will be the waiter, but it is two locals and the comment doesn't seem to make sense to me.
Rob talks about his power once again and that no one man should have this much power in the game, but then he says he is not an ordinary man. Classic Rob! I love how he is so cocky to the cameras, but doesn't play that way in front of everyone else.
At Tribal Council, it comes down to Natalie and Grant and Grant gets sent to RI 4-1. Since Jeff didn't mention that this was the last time Rob could use his immunity idol, I'm assuming that once the RI person comes back (which I'm assuming will be at the beginning of the finale) in the game Rob will still have one more chance, which is good and it could save his butt. Grant seems to have a good reaction to being voted out and isn't sure if it is Rob or Phillip that turned on him. Rob can probably convince Grant Phillip turned on him, either if Grant returns from RI or on the jury.
Since Rob has another chance to play his idol, it was smart to keep it, but if it was the last time at this TC, it would have been smarter to sneak the idol to Natalie and have everyone but Natalie vote for Natalie, and Natalie vote for Grant, then it looks like Natalie was just sitting on an idol. I think that would have been suspicious though, so it may have backfired. Either way it didn't happen so it doesn't matter.
heading into the finale, we are going to have one heck of a duel on RI, with four very strong competitors. Grant has done very well at the challenges in the game, although he hasn't won one in a while. Mike has ruled RI since he got there and will be tough to beat. Matt who had a long streak and has been kept alive by the fact that only one person has been eliminated from RI each week. Andrea who is also good at the challenges.
I hope that Matt comes back, just because it would make a great story on how he survived every duel on RI, but if he does, I'm not sure he'll get to the end. How humiliating to be voted out 3 times in one season. My next choice would be Andrea, because I don't think she would get the votes, even if she made the final 3, then Grant and lastly Mike. I don't want Mike for the sole reason that if he is in the final 3, he wins because he is Zapetara and that is a poor way to vote.
The previews show all sort of mayhem with everyone seeming to be breaking all alliances and going their own way. Phillip says all things must come to an end, is he talking about his alliance with Rob or the alliance between Ashley and Natalie. Ashley and Natalie say it is just the 3 of us, but we don't know who the third person is. Is it whomever comes back from RI or is it Rob?
Here is how it needs to go down:
Rob needs to win immunity or use his hidden immunity idol to insure he stays in the game. Best case scenario he does both and gives the idol to Natalie or Ashley. I say Ashley because after listening to Rob Cesternino's last podcast, he thought it is smarter to take Ashley to the end over Natalie, since Ashley has annoyed more people. I tend to agree with that feeling. The person who comes back from RI, again this is assuming they come back at the beginning of the episode, should be the one voted out, unless they won immunity, in which case you vote out either Ashley or Natalie, whomever Rob decides to keep.
That would leave four remaining, Rob, Phillip, Ashley and Natalie or Rob, Phillip, RI Person and either Ashley or Natalie. The RI person needs to be the next to go if they are still in the game and don't win immunity, if they do win, then Ashley or Natalie will go, unless Phillip does something insanely stupid that makes Rob not trust him.
The final 3 should be Rob, Phillip and Ashley (or at worst case Natalie). If the RI person makes it, then they win, unless it is Andrea. Matt would be a lock to win it, so would Mike. Grant probably would win, but no guarantees. This final 3 would give Rob the best chance to win, but it really depends on how bitter the are towards Rob or if they have respect for him. It also depends on who was the biggest bad guy of the final 3. If Rob is perceived as bad and not just playing a great game, he won't win. I will be shocked if Phillip wins, but he did say he is a good talker. I'm thinking it would be too little too late with him. Natalie or even Ashley could walk a way the winner, if Rob is hated or even if he doesn't get the votes merely because he has played 4 times.
In the end, Rob is the only one that has played the game and while he has had to be the bad guy, he has a pretty good social game too. This season will be most satisfying to me if Rob wins and second will be if Matt wins. Matt only deserves to win because he lasted the whole time on RI, not because he is a good Survivor player. No one else has played the game to win, but could we have another Survivor Somoa and the role of Russell will be played by Rob? I hope not.
So until Sunday... the Tribe has spoken!
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