Survivor Philippines: Episode 7 - Drying the Clothes

Back at camp after TC, Penner was surprised to see his name come up.  Jeff K. told him Katie was just determined to get him out. He also said that he can get Penner before he goes after Jeff.

At Tandang, Michael makes the observation that they are at the same day when he fell into the fire in Australia.  They respond for him to stay away from the fire.  Then we see a boat arriving telling them they are merged and they have 10 minutes to gather the stuff they want to bring along.  They are excited.  At Kalabaw, they also have a boat show up with the same message.  Jeff K. says that he has two priorities, get rid of Penner and Skupin.  Denise wants to stay with both alliances she has, Kalabaw and with Malcolm.  Abby encourages RC to get info, but RC says she will but they aren't a big happy family.  Skupin says he and RC are free agents.

At the merged tribe's camp, Lisa feels the need to be helpful while the guys build the shelter and lays out everyone's clothes and finds Malcolm's idol.  He takes her aside and she says that she won't tell anyone and didn't find it on purpose.  Malcolm tells her that him, Denise and her will be the final three.  Lisa isn't sure about that.  Then Lisa and Penner have a chat and he recognizes her but says he won't rat her out.  Penner approaches Skupin about joining forces, thinking he has the 4 Kalabaw strong.  Skupin and RC are receptive.  Jeff K. talks to Pete and the gang and talk about taking out Penner or RC and splitting the votes, just in case Penner plays the idol.  This could get interesting.

At the immunity challenge a very tough challenge in holding 25% of their weight.  Denise and Carter lasted the longest, each winning immunity.  Carter and Jeff were the final 2 and Jeff let go with the understanding that Carter owes him one.  Artis says the vote will split and Penner or RC will go.  Somehow I don't think that is going to happen.

RC and Skupin are switching to Kalabaw.  Jeff and Carter are talking strategy and Penner walks up.  Penner assures them that he is with them until the end along with Skupin and RC.  Jeff tells Pete he is with them. Which way will it go.

At TC there was lots of talk and Lisa is very well spoken.  It came down to Pete and RC, because Penner played his idol.  Penner got 5 votes, that didn't count, RC got 4 votes and Pete got 2 votes, sending RC to the jury.  The vote was as follows:  For Penner (Abby, Skupin, Denise, Malcolm and Lisa ), RC (Artis, Pete, Jeff and Carter), Pete (RC and Penner).

The preview shows Penner as betrayed and determined and it will be interesting to see if he can form another alliance or if he will be sent home next week.  The edit of the preview makes it look like he may win immunity, but that doesn't mean he will.

Here are the alliances that I see:

Pete, Artis, Lisa and Abby

Malcolm and Denise, but Malcolm is in with Pete.

Skupin voted with Pete, but is on his own.

Penner is on his own.

Jeff and Carter are together and voted with Pete.

So where does that leave everyone in terms of the game.  Pete's four should be strong for now and my guess is that Malcolm will also stay strong and bring Denise in.  Jeff and Carter made a bad move by switching because I think they will be left out on this, but Pete may not say anything until after Skupin and Penner are gone.  So here is my predicted order of boot, barring any immunity wins that mess it up.

Penner
Skupin
Carter
Jeff

Then the question will be will Lisa stay strong with Pete or will she go with Malcolm and Denise.  I think it is too early to tell, but I would say that Lisa is the bottom of that alliance and she could make final 3 with Malcolm and Denise.  The tough part is that Malcolm and Abby have idols and that could throw a wrench into things, as well as Malcolm, Denise and Pete all can win immunities.  Penner is also a threat and skupin not as much.

As far as the final, there were 11 going into tonights episode and RC is the first member of the jury, so that means there will either be a final 3 with 8 jury members or a final 2 with 9 jury members.  Neither of which have been done before.  We have historically had 9 jury members with a final 3 or 7 jury members with a final 2.  I don't recall any other ones.  8 for 3 or 9 for two make more sense, since it totally eliminates any possibility of a tie (well not all, because the 8 could vote 4-4-0).  It will be interesting to see.

So until next week... the Tribe has spoken.